Symmetric scaling properties in global surface air temperature anomalies     

Costas A. Varotsos  Maria N. Efstathiou 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2015,121(3-4):767-773

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Spatial variability of maximum and minimum monthly temperature in Spain during 1981–2010 evaluated by correlation decay distance (CDD)     

D. Pena-Angulo  N. Cortesi  M. Brunetti  J. C. González-Hidalgo 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2015,122(1-2):35-45

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Trends of extreme precipitation in eastern China and their possible causes   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Run Liu  Shaw Chen Liu  Ralph J. Cicerone  Chein-Jung Shiu  Jun Li  Jingli Wang  Yuanhang Zhang 《大气科学进展》2015,32(8):1027-1037

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Energy consumption based on heating/cooling degree days within the urban environment of Athens,Greece     

K. P. Moustris  P. T. Nastos  A. Bartzokas  I. K. Larissi  P. T. Zacharia  A. G. Paliatsos 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2015,122(3-4):517-529

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Tropospheric biennial oscillation of summer monsoon rainfall over East Asia and its association with ENSO   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yunyun Liu  Zeng-Zhen Hu  Arun Kumar  Peitao Peng  Dan C. Collins  Bhaskar Jha 《Climate Dynamics》2015,45(7-8):1747-1759

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The energy balance over land and oceans: an assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Martin Wild  Doris Folini  Maria Z. Hakuba  Christoph Schär  Sonia I. Seneviratne  Seiji Kato  David Rutan  Christof Ammann  Eric F. Wood  Gert König-Langlo 《Climate Dynamics》2015,44(11-12):3393-3429

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Effect of snow cover on pan-Arctic permafrost thermal regimes     

Hotaek Park  Alexander N. Fedorov  Mikhail N. Zheleznyak  Pavel Y. Konstantinov  John E. Walsh 《Climate Dynamics》2015,44(9-10):2873-2895

This study quantitatively evaluated how insulation by snow depth (SND) affected the soil thermal regime and permafrost degradation in the pan-Arctic area, and more generally defined the characteristics of soil temperature (T_SOIL) and SND from 1901 to 2009. This was achieved through experiments performed with the land surface model CHANGE to assess sensitivity to winter precipitation as well as air temperature. Simulated T_SOIL, active layer thickness (ALT), SND, and snow density were generally comparable with in situ or satellite observations at large scales and over long periods. Northernmost regions had snow that remained relatively stable and in a thicker state during the past four decades, generating greater increases in T_SOIL. Changes in snow cover have led to changes in the thermal state of the underlying soil, which is strongly dependent on both the magnitude and the timing of changes in snowfall. Simulations of the period 2001–2009 revealed significant differences in the extent of near-surface permafrost, reflecting differences in the model’s treatment of meteorology and the soil bottom boundary. Permafrost loss was greater when SND increased in autumn rather than in winter, due to insulation of the soil resulting from early cooling. Simulations revealed that T_SOIL tended to increase over most of the pan-Arctic from 1901 to 2009, and that this increase was significant in northern regions, especially in northeastern Siberia where SND is responsible for 50 % or more of the changes in T_SOIL at a depth of 3.6 m. In the same region, ALT also increased at a rate of approximately 2.3 cm per decade. The most sensitive response of ALT to changes in SND appeared in the southern boundary regions of permafrost, in contrast to permafrost temperatures within the 60°N–80°N region, which were more sensitive to changes in snow cover. Finally, our model suggests that snow cover contributes to the warming of permafrost in northern regions and could play a more important role under conditions of future Arctic warming.  相似文献   

Estimating Sea-Level Allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC     

Li Zhai  Blair J.W. Greenan  John Hunter  Thomas S. James  Guoqi Han  Phillip MacAulay 《大气与海洋》2015,53(5):476-490

Abstract

Sea-level allowances at 22 tide-gauge sites along the east coast of Canada are determined based on projections of regional sea-level rise for the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) from the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) and on the statistics of historical tides and storm surges (storm tides). The allowances, which may be used for coastal infrastructure planning, increase with time during the twenty-first century through a combination of mean sea-level rise and the increased uncertainty of future projections with time. The allowances show significant spatial variation, mainly a consequence of strong regionally varying relative sea-level change as a result of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). A methodology is described for replacement of the GIA component of the AR5 projection with global positioning system (GPS) measurements of vertical crustal motion; this significantly decreases allowances in regions where the uncertainty of the GIA models is large. For RCP8.5 with GPS data incorporated and for the 1995–2100 period, the sea-level allowances range from about 0.5?m along the north shore of the Gulf of St. Lawrence to more than 1?m along the coast of Nova Scotia and southern Newfoundland.  相似文献   

Impact of Assimilating Radiances with the WRFDA ETKF/3DVAR Hybrid System on Prediction of Two Typhoons in 2012          下载免费PDF全文

XU Dongmei  HUANG Xiang-Yu  WANG Hongli  Arthur P. MIZZI  MIN Jinzhong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2015,29(1):28-40

The impacts of AMSU-A and IASI (Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer) radiances assimila-tion on the prediction of typhoons Vicente and Saola (2012) are studied by using the ensemble transform ...  相似文献   

Added-value from initialization in predictions of Atlantic multi-decadal variability     

J.?García-SerranoEmail author  V.?Guemas  F.?J.?Doblas-Reyes 《Climate Dynamics》2015,44(9-10):2539-2555

Identifying regions sensitive to external radiative changes, including anthropogenic (sulphate aerosols and greenhouse gases) and natural (volcanoes and solar variations) forcings, is important to formulate actionable information at multi-year time-scales. Internally-generated climate variability can overcome this radiative forcing, especially at regional level, so that detecting the areas for this potential dominance is likewise critical for decadal prediction. This work aims to clarify where each contribution has the largest effect on North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) predictions in relation to the Atlantic multi-decadal variability (AMV). Initialized decadal hindcasts and radiatively-forced historical simulations from the fifth phase of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project are analysed to assess multi-year skill of the AMV. The initialized hindcasts reproduce better the phase of the AMV index fluctuations. The radiatively-forced component consists of a residual positive trend, although its identification is ambiguous. Initialization reduces the inter-model spread when estimating the level of AMV skill, thus reducing its uncertainty. Our results show a skilful performance of the initialized hindcasts in capturing the AMV-related SST anomalies over the subpolar gyre and Labrador Sea regions, as well as in the eastern subtropical basin, and the inability of the radiatively-forced historical runs to simulate the horseshoe-like AMV signature over the North Atlantic. Initialization outperforms empirical predictions based on persistence beyond 1–4 years ahead, suggesting that ocean dynamics play a role in the AMV predictability beyond the thermal inertia. The initialized hindcasts are also more skilful at reproducing the observed AMV teleconnection to the West African monsoon. The impact of the start date frequency is also described, showing that the standard of 5-year interval between start dates yields the main features of the AMV skill that are robustly detected in hindcasts with yearly start date sampling. This work updates previous studies, complementing them, and concludes that skilful initialized multi-model forecasts of the AMV-related climate variability can be formulated, improving uninitialized projections, until 3–6 years ahead.  相似文献